Introduction to the Forex Market
The
foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market)
is a global decentralized market for the trading of currencies. The main participants in this
market are the larger international banks. Financial centers around the world
function as anchors of trading between a wide range of different types of
buyers and sellers around the clock, with the exception of weekends. EBS
and Reuters'
dealing 3000 are two main interbank FX trading platforms. The
foreign exchange market determines the relative values of different currencies.
The
foreign exchange market assists international trade and investment by enabling currency
conversion. For example, it permits a business in the United States
to import goods from the European Union member states, especially Eurozone
members, and pay Euros,
even though its income is in United States dollars. It also supports
direct speculation in the value of currencies, and the carry trade,
speculation based on the interest rate differential between two currencies.
In
a typical foreign exchange transaction, a party purchases some quantity of one
currency by paying some quantity of another currency. The modern foreign
exchange market began forming during the 1970s after three decades of
government restrictions on foreign exchange transactions (the Bretton Woods
system of monetary management established the rules for commercial and
financial relations among the world's major industrial states after World War
II), when countries gradually switched to floating exchange rates from the previous exchange rate
regime, which remained fixed as per the Bretton Woods
system.
The
foreign exchange market is unique because of the following characteristics:
·
its
huge trading volume representing the largest asset class in the world leading
to high liquidity;
·
its
geographical dispersion;
·
its
continuous operation: 24 hours a day except weekends, i.e., trading from 20:15 GMT on Sunday until
22:00 GMT Friday;
·
the
variety of factors that affect exchange rates;
·
the
low margins of relative profit compared with other markets of fixed income; and
·
the
use of leverage
to enhance profit and loss margins and with respect to account size.
As
such, it has been referred to as the market closest to the ideal of perfect
competition, notwithstanding currency intervention by central banks.
According to the Bank for International Settlements, as of
April 2010, average daily turnover
in global foreign exchange markets is estimated at $3.98 trillion, a growth of
approximately 20% over the $3.21 trillion daily volume as of April 2007. Some
firms specializing on foreign exchange market had put the average daily
turnover in excess of US$4 trillion.
The
$3.98 trillion break-down is as follows:
·
$1.490
trillion in spot
transactions
·
$475
billion in outright
forwards
·
$1.765
trillion in foreign
exchange swaps
·
$43
billion currency
swaps
·
$207
billion in options
and other products
"Forex" stands for foreign exchange; it's also known as FX. In a Forex trade, you buy one currency while simultaneously selling another.
Currencies trade in pairs, like the Euro-US Dollar (EUR/USD) or US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY). Forex trading is used to speculate on the relative strength of one currency against another. The foreign exchange market is an over-the-counter market, which means that it is a decentralised market with no central exchange.
Daily turnover in the world's currencies comes from two sources:
- Foreign trade (5%). Companies buy and sell products in foreign countries, plus convert profits from foreign sales into domestic currency.
- Speculation for profit (95%).
Most traders focus on the biggest, most liquid currency pairs. "The Majors" include US Dollar, Japanese Yen, Euro, British Pound, Swiss Franc, Canadian Dollar and Australian Dollar. In fact, more than 85% of daily Forex trading happens in the major currency pairs.
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Insurance
Insurance is the equitable transfer of the risk of a loss, from
one entity to another in exchange for payment. It is a form of risk
management primarily used to hedge against
the risk of a contingent, uncertain loss.
An insurer, or insurance carrier, is
a company selling the insurance; the insured, or policyholder, is the person or
entity buying the insurance policy. The amount of money to
be charged for a certain amount of insurance coverage is called the premium. Risk
management, the practice of appraising and
controlling risk, has evolved as a discrete field of study and practice.
The transaction involves the insured
assuming a guaranteed and known relatively small loss in the form of payment to
the insurer in exchange for the insurer's promise to compensate (indemnify)
the insured in the case of a financial (personal) loss. The insured receives a contract,
called the insurance policy, which details the
conditions and circumstances under which the insured will be financially
compensated.
Insurance involves pooling funds
from many insured entities (known as exposures) to pay for the
losses that some may incur. The insured entities are therefore protected from
risk for a fee, with the fee being dependent upon the frequency and severity of
the event occurring. In order to be an insurable
risk, the risk insured against must meet certain characteristics.
Insurance as a financial.
Insurability
Main article: Insurability
Risk which can be insured by private
companies typically shares seven common characteristics.
1. Large number of similar exposure units: Since insurance operates through pooling resources, the
majority of insurance policies are provided for individual members of large
classes, allowing insurers to benefit from the law
of large numbers in which predicted losses are similar to the
actual losses. Exceptions include Lloyd's
of London, which is famous for insuring the life or health of
actors, sports figures, and other famous individuals. However, all exposures
will have particular differences, which may lead to different premium rates.
2. Definite loss:
The loss takes place at a known time, in a known place, and from a known cause.
The classic example is death of an insured person on a life insurance policy. Fire, automobile
accidents, and worker injuries may all easily meet this criterion.
Other types of losses may only be definite in theory. Occupational
disease, for instance, may involve prolonged exposure to injurious
conditions where no specific time, place, or cause is identifiable. Ideally,
the time, place, and cause of a loss should be clear enough that a reasonable
person, with sufficient information, could objectively verify all three
elements.
3. Accidental loss:
The event that constitutes the trigger of a claim should be fortuitous, or at
least outside the control of the beneficiary of the insurance. The loss should
be pure, in the sense that it results from an event for which there is only the
opportunity for cost. Events that contain speculative elements, such as
ordinary business risks or even purchasing a lottery ticket, are generally not
considered insurable.
4. Large loss:
The size of the loss must be meaningful from the perspective of the insured.
Insurance premiums need to cover both the expected cost of losses, plus the
cost of issuing and administering the policy, adjusting losses, and supplying
the capital needed to reasonably assure that the insurer will be able to pay
claims. For small losses, these latter costs may be several times the size of
the expected cost of losses. There is hardly any point in paying such costs
unless the protection offered has real value to a buyer.
5. Affordable premium:
If the likelihood of an insured event is so high, or the cost of the event so
large, that the resulting premium is large relative to the amount of protection
offered, then it is not likely that the insurance will be purchased, even if on
offer. Furthermore, as the accounting profession formally recognizes in
financial accounting standards, the premium cannot be so large that there is
not a reasonable chance of a significant loss to the insurer. If there is no
such chance of loss, then the transaction may have the form of insurance, but
not the substance. (See the US Financial Accounting Standards Board standard
number 113)
6. Calculable loss:
There are two elements that must be at least estimable, if not formally
calculable: the probability of loss, and the attendant cost. Probability of
loss is generally an empirical exercise, while cost has more to do with the
ability of a reasonable person in possession of a copy of the insurance policy
and a proof of loss associated with a claim presented under that policy to make
a reasonably definite and objective evaluation of the amount of the loss
recoverable as a result of the claim.
7. Limited risk of catastrophically large losses: Insurable losses are ideally independent and non-catastrophic,
meaning that the losses do not happen all at once and individual losses are not
severe enough to bankrupt the insurer; insurers may prefer to limit their
exposure to a loss from a single event to some small portion of their capital
base. Capital constrains insurers' ability
to sell earthquake insurance as well as wind
insurance in hurricane zones. In the US, flood
risk is insured by the federal government. In commercial fire
insurance, it is possible to find single properties whose total exposed value
is well in excess of any individual insurer's capital constraint. Such
properties are generally shared among several insurers, or are insured by a
single insurer who syndicates the risk into the reinsurance market.
Legal
When a company insures an individual
entity, there are basic legal requirements. Several commonly cited legal
principles of insurance include:
1. Indemnity –
the insurance company indemnifies, or compensates, the insured in the case of
certain losses only up to the insured's interest.
2. Insurable
interest – the insured typically must directly suffer from the
loss. Insurable interest must exist whether property insurance or insurance on
a person is involved. The concept requires that the insured have a
"stake" in the loss or damage to the life or property insured. What
that "stake" is will be determined by the kind of insurance involved
and the nature of the property ownership or relationship between the persons.
The requirement of an insurable interest is what distinguishes insurance from gambling.
3. Utmost
good faith – (Uberrima fides) the insured and the insurer
are bound by a good faith bond of honesty and fairness.
Material facts must be disclosed.
4. Contribution
– insurers which have similar obligations to the insured contribute in the
indemnification, according to some method.
5. Subrogation
– the insurance company acquires legal rights to pursue recoveries on behalf of
the insured; for example, the insurer may sue those liable for the insured's
loss.
6. Causa
proxima, or proximate cause – the cause of loss
(the peril) must be covered under the insuring agreement of the policy, and the
dominant cause must not be excluded
7. Mitigation
- In case of any loss or casualty, the asset owner must attempt to keep loss to
a minimum, as if the asset was not insured.
Indemnification
Main article: Indemnity
To "indemnify" means to
make whole again, or to be reinstated to the position that one was in, to the
extent possible, prior to the happening of a specified event or peril.
Accordingly, life insurance is generally not
considered to be indemnity insurance, but rather "contingent"
insurance (i.e., a claim arises on the occurrence of a specified event). There
are generally three types of insurance contracts that seek to indemnify an
insured:
1. a
"reimbursement" policy, and
2. a
"pay on behalf" or "on behalf of" policy, and
3. an
"indemnification" policy.
From an insured's standpoint, the
result is usually the same: the insurer pays the loss and claims expenses.
If the Insured has a "reimbursement"
policy, the insured can be required to pay for a loss and then be
"reimbursed" by the insurance carrier for the loss and out of pocket
costs including, with the permission of the insurer, claim expenses.
Under a "pay on behalf"
policy, the insurance carrier would defend and pay a claim on behalf of the
insured who would not be out of pocket for anything. Most modern liability
insurance is written on the basis of "pay on behalf" language which
enables the insurance carrier to manage and control the claim.
Under an "indemnification"
policy, the insurance carrier can generally either "reimburse" or
"pay on behalf of", whichever is more beneficial to it and the
insured in the claim handling process.
An entity seeking to transfer risk
(an individual, corporation, or association of any type, etc.) becomes the
'insured' party once risk is assumed by an 'insurer', the insuring party, by
means of a contract,
called an insurance policy. Generally, an insurance
contract includes, at a minimum, the following elements: identification of
participating parties (the insurer, the insured, the beneficiaries), the
premium, the period of coverage, the particular loss event covered, the amount
of coverage (i.e., the amount to be paid to the insured or beneficiary in the
event of a loss), and exclusions (events not covered). An
insured is thus said to be "indemnified" against the loss covered
in the policy.
When insured parties experience a
loss for a specified peril, the coverage entitles the policyholder to make a
claim against the insurer for the covered amount of loss as specified by the
policy. The fee paid by the insured to the insurer for assuming the risk is
called the premium. Insurance premiums from many insureds are used to fund
accounts reserved for later payment of claims — in theory for a relatively few
claimants — and for overhead costs. So long as an insurer
maintains adequate funds set aside for anticipated losses (called reserves),
the remaining margin is an insurer's profit.
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Finance
Finance
is the study of funds management, or the allocation of assets and liabilities over
time under conditions of certainty and uncertainty. A key point in finance is
the time value of money, which states that a unit of currency
today is worth more than the same unit of currency tomorrow. Finance aims to
price assets based on their risk level, and expected rate of return. Finance
can be broken into three different sub categories: public
finance, corporate finance and personal
finance.
Personal
finance
Main article: Personal finance
Questions in personal finance revolve around
·
How can people protect themselves against
unforeseen personal events, as well as those in the external economy?
·
How can family assets best be transferred
across generations (bequests and inheritance)?
·
How does tax policy (tax subsidies and/or
penalties) affect personal financial management?
·
How does credit affect an individual's
financial standing?
·
How can one plan for a secure financial
future in an environment of economic instability?
Personal finance may involve paying for
education, financing durable goods such as real
estate and cars, buying insurance, e.g. health and
property insurance, investing and saving for retirement.
Personal finance may also involve paying for
a loan, or debt obligations. The six key areas of personal financial planning,
as suggested by the Financial Planning Standards Board, are:[1]
1. Financial position:
is concerned with understanding the personal resources available by examining
net worth and household cash flow. Net worth is a person's balance sheet,
calculated by adding up all assets under that person's control, minus all
liabilities of the household, at one point in time. Household cash flow totals
up all the expected sources of income within a year, minus all expected
expenses within the same year. From this analysis, the financial planner can
determine to what degree and in what time the personal goals can be
accomplished.
2. Adequate protection: the analysis of how to protect a household from
unforeseen risks. These risks can be divided into liability, property, death,
disability, health and long term care. Some of these risks may be
self-insurable, while most will require the purchase of an insurance contract.
Determining how much insurance to get, at the most cost effective terms
requires knowledge of the market for personal insurance. Business owners,
professionals, athletes and entertainers require specialized insurance
professionals to adequately protect themselves. Since insurance also enjoys
some tax benefits, utilizing insurance investment products may be a critical
piece of the overall investment planning.
3. Tax planning:
typically the income tax is the single largest expense in a household. Managing
taxes is not a question of if you will pay taxes, but when and how much.
Government gives many incentives in the form of tax deductions and credits,
which can be used to reduce the lifetime tax burden. Most modern governments
use a progressive tax. Typically, as one's income grows, a higher marginal rate
of tax must be paid.[citation needed]
Understanding how to take advantage of the myriad tax breaks when planning
one's personal finances can make a significant impact.
4. Investment and accumulation goals: planning how to accumulate enough money for large
purchases, and life events is what most people consider to be financial planning.
Major reasons to accumulate assets include, purchasing a house or car, starting
a business, paying for education expenses, and saving for retirement. Achieving
these goals requires projecting what they will cost, and when you need to
withdraw funds. A major risk to the household in achieving their accumulation
goal is the rate of price increases over time, or inflation. Using net
present value calculators, the financial planner will suggest a combination of
asset earmarking and regular savings to be invested in a variety of
investments. In order to overcome the rate of inflation, the investment
portfolio has to get a higher rate of return, which typically will subject the
portfolio to a number of risks. Managing these portfolio risks is most often
accomplished using asset allocation, which seeks to diversify investment risk
and opportunity. This asset allocation will prescribe a percentage allocation
to be invested in stocks, bonds, cash and alternative investments. The allocation
should also take into consideration the personal risk profile of every
investor, since risk attitudes vary from person to person.
5. Retirement planning
is the process of understanding how much it costs to live at retirement, and
coming up with a plan to distribute assets to meet any income shortfall.
Methods for retirement plan include taking advantage of government allowed
structures to manage tax liability including: individual (IRA) structures, or employer sponsored retirement
plans.
6. Estate planning involves planning for the disposition of one's assets
after death. Typically, there is a tax due to the state or federal government
at one's death. Avoiding these taxes means that more of one's assets will be
distributed to one's heirs. One can leave one's assets to family, friends or
charitable groups.
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